Component prices under the new photovoltaic policy

1. Cost Factors Driving Price Fluctuations The cost of photovoltaic modules is primarily composed of solar cells, glass, encapsulation film, and labor expenses.

The current round of photovoltaic module price adjustments has imposed significant operational pressure on industry players. Leading companies, with their high R&D costs, are at a disadvantage in the price competition. Meanwhile, small and medium-sized enterprises find it challenging to endure prolonged price wars.

As the global energy transition accelerates, the photovoltaic (PV) industry, as a key component of renewable energy, continues to attract significant attention for its promising development prospects. However, price fluctuations in the photovoltaic module market remain a critical factor influencing the industry's growth.

International PV module prices, driven by Chinese averages, will likely rise from $0.08/W to $0.10/W today to $0.11/W by the end of 2025 and potentially $0.13/W by 2027, says Clean Energy Associates (CEA), noting that heterojunction and back-contact technologies now make up 12% of global module capacity.

However, given the supply-demand pressures and the competitive landscape of the industry, photovoltaic module prices are expected to remain in a low adjustment phase in 2025. Smaller enterprises may intensify their inventory clearance efforts to survive, which could create temporary downward pressure on market prices.

In an environment of overcapacity, the selling price of photovoltaic modules gradually approaches cost, with some companies even selling below cost to reduce inventory, further driving downward pressure on prices.